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The Development and
Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
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The 20th century saw revolutionary breakthroughs
in many fields of science and technology. Besides the
many discoveries and inventions in the fields of
electronics and telecommunications, few of the leaps
forward had more direct impact on people's lives and
society at large than the advances in nuclear
science. Below you can learn more about one
particular aspect of the nuclear revolution: the
development and spread of nuclear weapons.
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The Birth of the Atomic
Age |
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Photo of "mushroom cloud"
over Nagasaki, August 9, 1945.
Photo: Children of the
Manhattan Project |
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The atomic bombs "Little
Boy" (left) dropped on the Japanese city of
Hiroshima on August 6, 1945, and "Fat Man"
(right) dropped on the Japanese city of Nagasaki
on August 9, 1945.
Photo: Children of the
Manhattan Project |
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In October 1939, just after the outbreak of World
War II in Europe, the President of the United States
Franklin D. Roosevelt received a letter from
physicist Albert Einstein and his Hungarian colleague
Leo Szilard, calling to his attention the prospect
that a bomb of unprecedented power could be made by
tapping the forces of nuclear fission. The two
scientists, who had fled from Europe in order to
escape Nazism, feared that Hitler-Germany was already
working on the problem. Should the Germans be the
first to develop the envisaged "atomic bomb," Hitler
would have a weapon at his disposal that would make
it possible for him to destroy his enemies and rule
the world.
To avoid this nightmare, Einstein and Szilard
urged the government of the United States to join the
race for the atomic bomb. Roosevelt agreed, and for
the next four and half years a vast, utterly secret
effort was launched in cooperation with the United
Kingdom. Code-named "The Manhattan Project," the
effort eventually employed more than 200,000 workers
and several thousands scientists and engineers, many
of European background. Finally, on July 16, 1945,
the first atomic bomb was tested in the midst of the
Alamogordo desert in New Mexico. Its power astonished
even the men and women who had constructed it. As he
witnessed the spectacular explosion, Robert
Oppenheimer, the physicist who had directed the
scientific work on the bomb, remembered a line from
the Vedic religious text Bhagavad-Gita: "I am become
death, the shatterer of worlds."
By the time of the Alamogordo test, Germany had
already surrendered. This meant that the potential
threat of a Nazi atomic bomb no longer existed. But
the war in the Pacific was still raging, and the
President of the United States Harry S. Truman
decided to use the atomic bomb in order to force the
Japanese leadership to surrender as quickly as
possible. Thus, on August 6 an atomic bomb with an
explosive yield equivalent to 12.5 kilotons of the
explosives TNT (trinitrotoluene) was dropped on the
Japanese city of Hiroshima, instantly killing some
70,000 of its inhabitants, with another 70,000 deaths
registered by the end of 1945. Meanwhile, on August
9, a second bomb was used against the city of
Nagasaki. This explosion had a higher yield
(equivalent to 22 kilotons of TNT) but caused fewer
instant deaths. However, many of the survivors
suffered from heavy burns, radiation sickness, etc.,
and the death toll continued to rise. By the end of
the year more than 70,000 of Nagasaki's citizens had
lost their lives. Five years later, as many as
340,000 people, or 54 percent of the original
population, had died from the two explosions.
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The Spread of Nuclear Weapons
1945-1968 |
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Robert Oppenheimer (left) and General Leslie
Groves at the Trinity Site, Alamogordo, soon
after the first atomic bomb was tested in July
16, 1945.
Photo: Children of the
Manhattan Project
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After the Japanese surrender on
August 15, 1945, many people called for a ban on
nuclear weapons in order to avoid a nuclear arms race
and the risk of future catastrophes like the ones in
Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Both the United States and
the Soviet Union declared that they were in favor of
putting the atomic bomb under foolproof international
control. In spite of these declarations, the big
powers were, in fact, never ready to give up their
own nuclear weapons programs. By the end of 1946 it
was clear to everybody that the effort to prevent a
nuclear arms race had failed. Indeed, the Soviet
Union had already launched a full-speed secret
nuclear weapons program in an attempt to catch up
with the United States. Thanks in part to espionage,
the Soviet scientists were able to build a blueprint
of the American fission bomb that was used against
Nagasaki and to conduct a successful testing of it on
August 29, 1949.
In its turn, the fact that the
Soviet Union had become a nuclear power figured
heavily when President Truman in early 1950 decided
to launch a crash program in order to develop a more
advanced type of nuclear weapons, the so-called
hydrogen bomb. In contrast to the first atomic bombs,
which destructive power came from the process of
nuclear fission, the "H-bomb" would use a small
fission bomb to trigger a tremendously powerful
process of nuclear fusion.
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| Today eight countries are
possessing nuclear weapons. The five nuclear
weapons states United States, Russia (former
Soviet Union), United Kingdom, France and China,
are the only countries allowed to have nuclear
weapons according to the Non-Proliferation Treaty
(NPT) from 1970. All members of the United
Nations except Israel, India and Pakistan have
signed the NPT. |
By 1954, both the United States
and the Soviet Union had successfully tested their
first generation of H-bombs. The tests proved that
fusion bombs could easily be made to produce
explosions more than 1,000 times as powerful as the
fission bombs used in the Second World War. The most
powerful explosion ever took place at Novaya Zemlya
on October 30, 1961, when the Soviet Union tested a
"monster bomb" with a yield equivalent to 50 megatons
of TNT. It has been estimated that this explosion
alone released more destructive power than all bombs
and explosives used in the Second World War added
together, including the three nuclear explosions of
July and August 1945.
By 1961, two more countries had
developed and successfully tested nuclear weapons.
United Kingdom had started its program during the
Second World War in close co-operation with the
United States, and the first British bomb was tested
on October 3, 1952. On February 13, 1960, France
followed suit. The French program received very
little technological and scientific support from
other countries. Four and a half years later, on
October 16, 1964, China became the fifth nuclear
power after having received only reluctant assistance
from the Soviet Union.
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Preventing the Spread of Nuclear
Weapons |
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In the early 1960s, many
military experts and political leaders feared that
the proliferation of nuclear weapons was bound to
continue, and that within a decade or two a dozen
additional countries were likely to cross the nuclear
threshold. In an attempt to forestall such a
development, the United States and the Soviet Union
took the lead in negotiating an international
agreement that would prohibit the further spread of
nuclear weapons without banning the utilization of
nuclear energy for peaceful purposes. The result was
the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear
Weapons, also referred to as the Non-Proliferation
Treaty, or NPT, which opened for signature on July 1,
1968. By then, 21 countries in Latin America and the
Caribbean had already established the world's first
nuclear weapons-free zone by signing on to the Treaty
of Tlatelolco.
When it came into force on
March 5, 1970, the NPT separated between two
categories of states: On the one hand, nuclear
weapons states – that is, the five countries
that were known to possess nuclear weapons at the
time when the Treaty was signed (United States,
Soviet Union, United Kingdom, France and China). On
the other hand, non-nuclear weapons states –
that is, all other signatories of the Treaty.
According to its provisions, the nuclear weapons
states on signing the NPT agree not to release
nuclear weapons or in any other way help other states
to acquire or build nuclear weapons. At the same
time, the non-nuclear weapons states signatories
agree not to acquire or develop "nuclear weapons or
other nuclear explosive devices." In exchange for
this self-denial, the nuclear weapons states promise
to move toward a gradual reduction of their arsenals
of nuclear weapons with the ultimate goal of complete
nuclear disarmament.
The NPT was first signed by the
United States, the United Kingdom, the Soviet Union
together with 59 other countries. China and France
acceded to the Treaty in 1992. In 1996, Ukraine,
Belarus and Kazakhstan gave up their nuclear weapons,
left over from the Soviet Union when it fell apart in
1991-92, and signed the NPT as non-nuclear weapons
states parties. The NPT is now the most widely
accepted arms control agreement. As of June 2003, all
members of the United Nations except Israel, India,
and Pakistan had signed the NPT. However, one
signatory, North Korea, had recently threatened to
withdraw from the Treaty.
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Other Non-Proliferation
Agreements |
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Green areas show nuclear
weapons-free zones. Different treaties made it
possible to create several nuclear weapons-free
zones in the world: Latin America, the Caribbea
(except for Cuba), South East Asia, Central Asia
and Africa. More than 50% of the land on Earth is
free of nuclear weapons (99% of all land south of
the equator). 1,8 billion people live within
these zones. Other international treaties
prohibit stationing and testing of any kind of
nuclear explosives in the Antarctic, at the
sea-bed, in outer space and on the
moon.
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The very first major nuclear arms control
agreement was the Limited Test-Ban Treaty of 1963.
The LTBT prohibited nuclear explosions in the
atmosphere, in outer space, and under water. This
treaty was motivated first of all by a desire to
reduce and contain the health hazards caused by
radioactive fall-out from nuclear explosions in the
atmosphere. Due to the fact that many of the
radioactive isotopes that were spread around the
globe in the wake of such explosions have a lifetime
of many tens or hundreds or even thousands of years,
the continuation of atmospheric testing was likely to
cause additional cancer deaths and other serious
health problems on a large scale for many generations
to come.
That being said, many countries supported the
treaty for yet another reason: non-proliferation.
Since it was considered very difficult to develop a
reliable nuclear weapons capability without
conducting at least one real-life test, a universal
ban on testing would also serve as an effective
measure against nuclear proliferation. It was
probably for the very same reason that most of the
threshold states – that is, countries under
suspicion of pursuing secret nuclear ambitions
– for a long time refused to sign the LTBT.
Also France and China withheld their signature,
arguing that the LTBT was unfair since it allowed the
technologically more advanced nuclear weapons states
to continue testing underground.
Eventually, on October 24, 1996, a Comprehensive
Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) was signed that banned all
nuclear explosions, including underground tests, for
military as well as peaceful purposes. Both France
and China were now ready to sign up. By June 2003,
the CTBT had been signed by 167 and ratified by 100
out of altogether 197 countries. Among the countries
that had still to sign and/or ratify the treaty were
Afghanistan, Cuba, India, Iraq, Iran, Israel, North
Korea, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and the United
States (United States ratification has so far been
stopped by the Senate).
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The Illegal Nuclear
Weapons States |
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As mentioned, the NPT distinguished between
nuclear weapons states and non-nuclear weapons states
as parties of the Treaty. However, from the very
beginning there was in fact a third category of
countries as well, namely, non-nuclear weapons states
that for one reason or another had decided not to
become parties of the NPT. Some countries, like Cuba,
dismissed the NPT as an instrument that served to
maintain the existing and, in their opinion,
thoroughly unjust world order. Others simply wanted
to reserve the option of developing their own nuclear
arsenal: either to enhance their regional or
international status, to deter military aggression or
to underpin their political independence. Not
surprisingly, most of the threshold states belonged
to this group.
The first country outside the NPT to cross the
nuclear threshold was India, which exploded a nuclear
device in an atmospheric test in 1974. In 1998, both
India and Pakistan conducted several nuclear
underground tests, inviting a storm of international
protests and some short-lived economic and political
sanctions as well.
Meanwhile, the ending of white minority rule in
South Africa in 1993 had led to the sensational
disclosure that, in the mid-1980s, South Africa had
developed and stockpiled a small number of nuclear
weapons. The weapons had been dismantled and
destroyed in the last years of apartheid because the
white government feared that they might some day fall
into the hands of militant black opposition groups
and be used against the government. Subsequently,
South Africa signed both the NPT (1991) and the CTBT
(1996) as a non-nuclear weapons state.
Allegations about a secret Israeli nuclear weapons
program were frequently heard in the 1960s and 70s.
It was not until the mid-1980s, however, that the
allegations were backed up with firm proof. In the
fall of 1986, a former Israeli nuclear technician,
Mordechai Vanunu, disclosed illegally possessed
evidence proving that Israel, by all meaningful
definitions of the term, was indeed a nuclear weapons
state, and a powerful one as well. Drawing on
Vanunu's photographs from the bomb factory underneath
the small Dimona nuclear reactor, Western experts
concluded that Israel at the time probably had
acquired enough fissile material to produce more than
100 nuclear bombs and warheads. Today, Israel may
possess as much as 150-200 nuclear weapons.
Thus, by June 2003 there were at least three
countries – India, Israel, and Pakistan –
that were both in possession of nuclear weapons and
non-parties to the NPT. In addition, North Korea had
announced its intention to withdraw from the NPT. The
announcement came after repeated hints by North
Korean representatives that their country already
possessed a few nuclear weapons.
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Nuclear Weapons and the
Nobel Peace Prize |
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Joseph Rotblat at the 1995
Peace Prize Ceremony, Oslo, Norway.
Photo: The Norwegian Nobel
Institute |
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Alfred Nobel died long before
the scientific discoveries took place that would pave
the way for the use of nuclear energy for military
purposes. In his will, however, he stated that one of
the achievements that might qualify someone for being
awarded the Nobel Peace Prize is outstanding work
"for the abolition or reduction of standing armies
and for the holding and promotion of peace
congresses". In the nuclear age, the Norwegian Nobel
Committee, on several occasions, picked as the most
deserving candidate within this category a person or
an organization fighting against the spread and
build-up of nuclear weapons. Among the Nobel Peace
Prize Laureates who received the award, fully or
partly, in recognition of their efforts in favor of
nuclear disarmament were Philip Noel-Baker (1959),
Linus Pauling (1962), Eisaku Sato (1974), Alfonso
García Robles and Alva Myrdal (1982),
International Physicians for the Prevention of
Nuclear War (1985), Mikhail Gorbachev (1990), Joseph
Rotblat and the Pugwash Conferences on Science and
World Affairs (1995). As long as the risks of nuclear
proliferation and nuclear war continue to exist, new
Nobel Peace Prizes may well be awarded in this field
in the years ahead.
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The 1959 Nobel Peace
Prize |
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Philip Noel-Baker received
the 1959 Nobel Peace Prize.
Read More
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The British professor, politician and diplomat,
Philip Noel-Baker, was awarded the 1959 Nobel Peace
Prize in acknowledgment of his lifelong endeavor to
help refugees of war and to promote arms control and
disarmament. Although the award was not given to him
primarily for his call for nuclear disarmament, the
Chairman of the Norwegian Nobel Committee, Mr. Gunnar
Jahn, made several references to this particular
aspect of Noel-Baker's work in his presentation
speech at the award ceremony. In a recent book,
The Arms Race: A Program for World
Disarmament from 1958, Noel-Baker had indeed
called for an international agreement that could stop
the spread and build-up of nuclear weapons. His main
conclusion was that even if there were risks involved
in every proposed scheme for nuclear disarmament,
these risks were not as grave as the risk of doing
nothing, pending the establishment of a foolproof
control system.
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The 1962 Nobel Peace
Prize |
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Linus Pauling received the
1962 Nobel Peace Prize.
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Linus Pauling, a professor and 1954 Nobel Prize
Laureate in Chemistry, received the 1962 Nobel Peace
Prize for his leading role in the struggle against
nuclear testing in the atmosphere. Pauling was not
personally involved in the negotiations leading up to
the Limited Test-Ban Treaty (LTBT) of 1963 but the
Norwegian Nobel Committee argued that the work of
Pauling and other scientists had been instrumental in
bringing the three main nuclear powers (United
States, Soviet Union, and United Kingdom) to the
negotiation table. Symbolically, the Committee
announced its decision on October 12, 1963, the very
day that the LTBT went into effect.
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The 1974 Nobel Peace
Prize |
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Eisaku Sato received the
1974 Nobel Peace Prize.
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Eisaku Sato, former prime minister of Japan,
received the 1974 Nobel Peace Prize mainly in
recognition of his opposition to any plans for a
Japanese nuclear weapons program and his crucial role
in ensuring Japan's signature to the
Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). In her presentation
speech at the award ceremony, Committee chairperson,
Aase Lionæs, said that the award to Sato should
be seen as "an encouragement to all who work to
ensure that the non-proliferation agreement will
receive the widest possible support."
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The 1982 Nobel Peace
Prize |
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| Alva Myrdal and Alfonso García Robles received the 1982 Nobel Peace Prize. Read More » |
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In 1982 the Norwegian Nobel Committee decided to
give the Peace Prize to Alva Myrdal and Alfonso
García Robles, for their important contributions
in favor of nuclear arms control and disarmament. In
the case of Mrs. Myrdal, a Swedish diplomat, the
Committee wanted to celebrate her long and tireless
effort in favor of nuclear disarmament in general,
and her hard-hitting criticism of the nuclear weapons
powers for failing to live up to their commitments
under the Non-Proliferation Treaty. Also Mr. Robles,
a Mexican diplomat, had a long and distinguished
diplomatic career in the field of arms control and
disarmament. He was particularly hailed for his
crucial contribution to the process that led to the
signing of the Treaty of Tlatelolco, which
established the world's first self-declared nuclear
weapons-free zone in Latin America.
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The 1985 Nobel Peace
Prize |
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International Physicians
for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW)
received the 1985 Nobel Peace Prize.
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The early 1980s was a period of increasing
political and military tensions between the United
States, the Soviet Union and their respective allies.
By giving the 1985 Nobel Peace Prize to the
organization International Physicians for the
Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW), the Norwegian
Nobel Committee wanted to praise an international
group of medical doctors that, for many years, had
worked hard to spread authoritative information about
the catastrophic consequences of nuclear war. The
Committee believed that this in turn would help
strengthen the growing public opposition to the
nuclear arms race that had become so visible in
Western countries at the time. In order to
demonstrate that the IPPNW's campaign against nuclear
weapons was directed against both sides in the Cold
War, the Committee asked the organization's two
founders and co-presidents, Professor Bernard Lown
from the United States and Professor Yevgeny Chazov
from the Soviet union, to receive the Prize on behalf
of their organization.
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The 1990 Nobel Peace
Prize |
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Mikhail Gorbachev received
the 1990 Nobel Peace Prize.
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In 1990 Mikhail Gorbachev, the last leader of the
Soviet Union, was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize "for
his leading role in the peace process which today
characterizes important parts of the international
community". One important aspect of that contribution
was the numerous initiatives he had taken in order to
stop and reverse the nuclear arms race of the 1980s.
As Committee chairperson Gidske Andersson pointed out
in her presentation speech at the award ceremony,
Gorbachev had been instrumental in bringing about
disarmament agreements that were "without parallel in
our part of the world, in this or indeed in previous
centuries." The most obvious examples were the INF
Treaty of 1987, which banned all United States and
Soviet intermediate nuclear forces, the CEF Treaty of
1990 on conventional European forces, and the START I
Treaty, which committed the United States and the
Soviet Union to a 30 percent cut in their overall
strategic arsenals.
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The 1995 Nobel Peace
Prize |
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Joseph Rotblat
and the Pugwash Conferences on Science and World
Affairs received the 1995 Nobel Peace Prize.
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In 1995, the Norwegian Nobel Committee decided to
give that year's Nobel Peace Prize, in two equal
parts, to Joseph Rotblat and to the Pugwash
Conferences on Science and World Affairs, for their
efforts to diminish the part played by nuclear arms
in international politics and, in the longer run, to
eliminate such arms. Coinciding with the 50-year
memorial of the atomic bomb attacks on Hiroshima and
Nagasaki, the 1995 award also served as an appeal to
the political leaders of the world to collaborate
across national and political divides on constructive
proposals for reducing the nuclear threat. Founded in
1955, the Pugwash Conferences have brought together
scientists and decision-makers with a common desire
to see all nuclear weapons destroyed. Joseph Rotblat,
a Polish-born nuclear physicist who had worked on the
Anglo-American atomic bomb project during the Second
World War up until the German surrender, has since
then been the most important figure in the Pugwash
network.
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The 2005 Nobel Peace Prize |
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International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and its Director General, Mohamed ElBaradei were awarded the 2005 Nobel Peace Prize.
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On October 7, 2005, The Norwegian Nobel Committee announced that the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and its Director General, Mohamed ElBaradei, were awarded the 2005 Nobel Peace Prize for efforts to prevent nuclear energy from being used for military purposes and to ensure that nuclear energy for peaceful purposes is used in the safest possible way.
At a time when the threat of nuclear arms is again increasing, the Norwegian Nobel Committee wishes to underline that this threat must be met through the broadest possible international cooperation. IAEA controls that nuclear energy is not misused for military purposes, and the Director General has stood out as an unafraid advocate of new measures to strengthen that regime. At a time when disarmament efforts appear deadlocked, when there is a danger that nuclear arms will spread both to states and to terrorist groups, and when nuclear power again appears to be playing an increasingly significant role, IAEA's work is of incalculable importance.
By Olav Njølstad, The Norwegian Nobel Institute.
Play the Peace Doves Game»
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Bibliography
Much of the technical and
scientific information in this article draws upon
Dietrich Schroeer, Science, Technology and the
Arms Race (New York, 1984: John Wiley &
Sons). Two instructive historical accounts of the
first fifty years of the nuclear age are: McGeorge
Bundy, Danger and Survival: Choices About the
Bomb in the First Fifty Years (New York, 1990:
Vintage Books), and John Newhouse, War and Peace
in the Nuclear Age (New York, 1990: Vintage
Books). For a more thorough account of the Nobel
Peace Prize and the nuclear arms race, see Olav
Njølstad "The Norwegian Nobel Committee and the
Bomb, 1945-1999", Peace & Change, vol. 24,
no. 4 (2001), pp. 488-509.
Peter Goodchild, J. Robert
Oppenheimer: "Shatterer of Worlds" (London, BBC:
1980).
Richard Rhodes, The Making
of the Atomic Bomb (New York, 1986: Simon &
Schuster).
David Holloway, Stalin and
the Bomb: the Soviet Union and Atomic Energy
1939-1956 (New Haven, 1994: Yale University
Press).
John Wilson Lewis and Xue Litai,
China Builds the Bomb (Stanford, CA, 1988:
Stanford University Press).
David Fischer, "Reversing
nuclear proliferation: South Africa", Security
Dialogue, vol. 24, no. 3 (London, 1993: Sage),
pp. 273-286.
The best account of the Israeli
program is Avner Cohen, Israel and the Bomb
(New York, 1998: Columbia University Press).
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